And with the No. 27 selection of the 2009 NFL Draft, the Indianapolis Colts select . . .

First, I want to thank the readers for commenting on the Indy Football Report’s 2009 Readers’ Mock Draft throughout recent days, and especially on Tuesday. The Colts were on the clock at No. 27, and although I expected heated debate, I was overwhelmed by 33 comments before midnight when I finally started writing this post. Thirty-three comments ain’t much on ESPN or CBSSports, probably, but on this humble site, it’s big. Thanks.

Remember, we’ll wrap this thing up with Nos. 28-30 on Thursday and Nos. 31-32 on Friday.

Thanks to the readers participating. And remember if you haven’t participated yet, comments/suggestions are welcome. Just comment below. I’ll take everyone’s thoughts into consideration and post the selection the following morning.

 

We’ve gotten through Nos. 1-26 . . .

No. 1 / Detroit Lions . . . Matthew Stafford, QB, Georgia.

No. 2 / St. Louis Rams . . . Jason Smith, OT, Baylor. 

No. 3 / Kansas City Chiefs . . . Brian Orakpo, DE, Texas.

No. 4 / Seattle Seahawks  . . . Michael Crabtree, WR, Texas Tech.

No. 5 / Cleveland Browns . . . Aaron Curry, LB, Wake Forest.

No. 6 / Cincinnati  . . . Eugene Monroe, OT, Virginia.

No. 7 / Oakland  . . . Jeremy Maclin, WR, Missouri.

No. 8 / Jacksonville . . . Mark Sanchez, QB, Southern California.

No. 9 / Green Bay . . . B.J. Raji, DT, Boston College.

No. 10 / San Francisco . . . Everette Brown, DE, Florida State.

No. 11 / Buffalo  . . . Aaron Maybin, DE, Penn State.

No. 12 / Denver  . . . Ray Maualuga, LB, Southern California.

No. 13 / Washington . . . Michael Oher, OT, Ole Miss.

No. 14 / New Orleans . . . Malcolm Jenkins, CB, Ohio State.

No. 15 / Houston  . . . Brian Cushing, LB, Southern California.

No. 16 / San Diego . . . Tyson Jackson, DE, LSU.

No. 17 / New York Jets . . . Josh Freeman, QB, Kansas State.

No. 18 / Denver Broncos . . . Vontae Davis, CB, Illinois. 

No. 19 / Tampa Bay Buccaneers . . . Peria Jerry, DT, Ole Miss.

No. 20 / Detroit Lions . . . Andre Smith, OT, Alabama.

No. 21 / Philadelphia Eagles . . . Knowshon Moreno, RB, Georgia.

No. 22 / Minnesota Vikings . . . Eben Britton, OT, Arizona.

No. 23 / New England Patriots . . . Clay Matthews, LB, Southern Cal

No. 24 / Atlanta  . . . Brandon Pettigrew, TE, Oklahoma State. 

No. 25 / Miami . . . Robert Ayers, DE, Tennessee.

No. 26 / Baltimore . . . Percy Harvin, WR, Florida.

No. 27 / Indianapolis . . .

The Iowa Hawkeye weighed in with the first serious suggestion, wasn’t sold on defensive tackle Evander “Ziggy” Hood of Missouri, and also didn’t like running back “Beanie” Wells of Ohio State or North Carolina wide receiver Hakeem Nicks — at least not in Round 1. He saw Kenny Britt from Rutgers, Darrius Heyward-Bey of Maryland or Brian Robiskie of Ohio State as the wide receiver options, and liked Robiskie if the Colts go that route. But Hawkeye went against the grain and opted for Cincinnati linebacker Connor Barwin, saying, “It seems like while the Colts aren’t looking for more size at DT, they are bulking up the LB corps. . . . He is also, literally, an all-around talent capable of playing both sides of the ball as either a bruising OLB or DE on Defense, as a TE on Offense, and most importantly excels on Special Teams. The consumate all-around athlete Barwin excels at so many levels I find it hard to beleive Polian would pass him up.” I liked the thought, but can’t see the Colts going linebacker in Round 1. . . .

A.J. was next and said he really, really wants a defensive tackle — i.e., Hood — but believed Colts President Bill Polian won’t go DT in Round 1, and was torn because he couldn’t decide between Nicks and Britt, and Shake weighed in with Hood, but said he wouldn’t mind Nicks from North Carolina. He also said he can’t see Barwin or Wells, and I agreed on Barwin, so he was basically off the list at this point (no offense, Hawkeye). A new reader, ColColt checked in and pushed for Robiskie, so right then I was sort of waffling between Robiskie and Nicks, but expecting to be swayed . . .

Rpcmd then got me thinking outside the receiver conversation by mentioning cornerback Alphonso Smith from Wake Forest and running back William Beatty from UConn, saying, “I think both are EXCELLENT fits for the Colts and both would also be surprises. Smith is just a phenomenal player but lacks the measurables to be a cover corner, he does however make plays and would be a great fit in a zone.” He then said his picks would be between Beatty, Smith, Nicks and Robiskie, and right then, those were the names I was considering. BlueShoes then put in a push for Darrius Heyward-Bey, which Hawkeye didn’t like one bit, saying, “Do you honestly think that a rookie 1st round pick is going to bump Gonzo, a 1st round pick with 2 years experience, out of his #2 spot? Gonzo is replacing Harrison. What they need is someone to replace Gonzo in the #3 spot.” . . .

Rpcmd then pushed Heyward-Bey out of my thinking when he said, “He wasn’t a first-round pick before the combine, when he was blazing, which might be impressive for some teams but probably less so for Polian. Also he’s been inconsistent and less productive than others which again makes me think Polian looks past him.” This is a good point. I have heard Polian often say receivers in the Colts’ offense must be able to catch. It sounds simplistic, but productivity and consistency is important to Polian. Rpcmd really liked Smith of Wake Forest at this point . . .

Blueshoes weighed back in to push for Heyward-Bey: ”He is the fastest WR in the draft, has very good hands, and progressed to the point that his college coach recommended to him to move on to the NFL as a junior.” Shake answered back, “DHB is a bad route runner. He’s not going to fit in with the offense. Peyton would murder him by the 5th time that he wasn’t even close to where he was suppose to be.” I found myself agreeing still with Shake and wanting to get out of the way. Shake also said, “Nicks is a much better fit for Indy. Great routes, great hands and he’s fast enough in game speed.”

Anonguy then weighed in and knowing he would endure Shake’s wrath, made a pitch for Britt of Rutgers. He also liked Nicks and Beanie Wells, with Hood fourth.

At this point, there was a lot of good debate and a lot of good information being exhanged, then just before eight o’clock, kbc weighed in and said he liked Nicks of North Carolina, and I gradually began to get a feeling the pick was going to be between Robiskie and Nicks. And wouldn’t you know it? Just after 11, Cass weighed in and picked Nicks of North Carolina.

So, guess what we went with . . .

No. 27 / Indianaplolis . . . Hakeem Nicks, North Carolina.

Now, of course, Polian probably won’t go this way. But if he did, it wouldn’t surprise me all that much, either.

UPDATE: Oh, yes, we’re on to

No. 28 /Buffalo . . .

No. 29 / New York Giants . . .

No. 30 / Tennessee . .  .

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Indy Football Report Editor John Oehser answers the questions of Indianapolis Colts fans (and anyone else who happens to be reading .  . .)

 

The first question today is in response to a request last week to IFR readers to provide their Top Three first-round scenarios for the Colts in the 2009 NFL Draft.

 

Hey, Oehser . . .

Here are my draft scenarios:

1. Hakeem Nicks, North Carolina wide receiver. (Colts President Bill) Polian likes to take WRs early. Nicks fits well and should be around.

2. Brian Robiskie WR, Ohio State. If Nicks is off the board, I think they pass on (Rutgers wide receiver Kenny) Britt due to character concerns (no prima donnas on the colts) andmaybe come up witha draft day surprise as they go with Robiskie. Polian has shown he likes Ohio State players (wide receiver Anthony Gonzalez, defensive tackle Quinn Pitcock, wide receiver Roy Hall) and Robiskieis a very high character guy with a high IQ, and good work ethic, which sounds very Colt-like and very much like Gonzalez.

3. Alphonso Smith, CB, Wake Forest. If they’regoing to get a CB, it’s probably going to be Smith, (D.J.) Moore or (Darius) Butler, but Moore might be able to be grabbed in the 2nd so is probably too much of a reach in the 1st. Andof the other two, Smith sounds most like a colts corner (they seem to worry about height less than other factors), so he’s my darkhorse if Polian decides to get a backup for (cornerback Marlin) Jackson (as he did with Jackson for Nick Harper).

I left out the DTs because 1) I figure everyone is already talking about (Peria) Jerry and  really does seem to skip on DTs early in the draft. Besides, I REALLY like Mitch King at DT for the Colts in the 3rd round or so . . .

I looked at tackles cuz I really think they might be looking at at RT type, but I can’t find one that seemed to fit and was simultaneously worth a first-rounder…

Also, I would bank on this draft netting in Rounds 3-7: at least 1 LB, DT, OT/OG and 1 RB.

And just to throw it in, some players that I like that I think the Colts should look at in later rounds:

* Mitch King DT, Iowa. Small and fast for a DT, hard worker, high effort and intensity player who is tagged as an overachiever but has good character and instincts. Sounds a lot like (Quinn) Pitcock, who did play well before he flaked out on the Colts. . . Definitely think he’s possible in the 3rd or 4th area.

* Victor Harris, CB, Virginia Tech. Very versatile and GREAT fit for a zone. The Colts often seem to scoop up CBs who are very productive in college but thought to be a little slow for the NFL.

* Kraig Urbik, G, Wisconsin: He’s listed as a guard, but he sounds perfect for a RT to me. He’s a great zone blocking guard with some nice toughness and the same mean streak that Richardson was described to have. Plus, he’s a Big 10 player, which the Colts seem to take at a high rate. 

RPCMD.

RPCMD,

A lot of good points. As I’ve said before, few outside the organization knows what Bill Polian’s thinking before the draft, but he mentioned around the NFL Scouting Combine in February that even before the release of wide receiver Marvin Harrison, the spot was a draft need. Now, there’s nothing to prevent that from being a smokescreen — and the same could be true of his recent comments about not liking to take defensive tackles at the end of the first round. But history has shown him that you can get a quality receiver late in the first round and quality tackles there are tougher to find. I also like the Robiskie and Smith selections. As far taking a linebacker and defensive tackle at some point in the draft, I’d be shocked if that doesn’t happen. I wouldn’t as surprised if they skipped on guard, but they almost have to get a running back unless they re-sign backup Dominic Rhodes.

 

Hey, Oehser . . .

It seems to me that the Colts probably won’t be looking for a left tackle in the draft (unless they’ve given up on Tony Ugoh, which seems unlikely at this point). However, with Diem’s injuries and increasing age, it seems possible that a right tackle is a possibility. I’d be interested to hear your thoughts or opinions on this, as well as a more in-depth analysis as to who would fit (I read your OT article for Colts Examiner and have read elsewhere, but it seems like everything focuses on guys as LT and not on RT.)

RPCMD.

RPCMD,

Good to hear from you again. I agree that it’s too quick for the Colts to have given up on Ugoh, although if they take a left tackle, that’s how many people will interpret it. I’ve said this before, but while Ugoh spent a few games as a reserve early in the season, I also heard he got through that period and played better late in the season. Let’s talk about Diem: I wrote a few weeks ago on Examiner that Diem may have had his best season and some people sort of laughed at that. I heard that from more than a few people whose opinions matter far more than mine, and something else about Diem is he was the only Colts offensive lineman to start every game at one position last year. Still, he’s entering his ninth season and drafting a down-the-road replacement isn’t out of the question. You hear Andre Smith of Alabama will play right tackle in the NFL, but I can’t see him slipping to the Colts at No. 27. Eben Brittonof Arizona also played right tackle his first two years of college. I don’t see the Colts going right tackle in the first round. That’s usually a draft-and-develop position, and at the Colts, every position on the O-line is draft and develop except left tackle. It’s tough to provide much in-depth analysis much further down in the draft, because once you get past the first round, if the Colts are looking at right tackles you just don’t know where they might be looking.

Have a question for IFR Editor John Oehser? He welcomes your questions and can be reached at IFROehser@aol.com.

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Waking Up: 18to88 interview

Good morning . . .

Here’s the link to my interview with 18to88.

As I’ve said, I appreciate their support in these early days of IFR. It has been a great help, as has the support from the folks at www.stampedeblue.com. Good guys at each place, and knowledgeable Colts fans, too.

A few things to cover before the weekend . . .

It’s three weeks before draft day, and I hope people like the Breaking Down the Draft series. We’ve gotten through Hakeem Nicks and we’ll break down Peria Jerry today, but I’m curious what fans think about each of these guys. Would love to hear what you think at the end of each story.

Also, we’re about four or five weeks into IFR and I’m curious what people think so far. Be honest. This isn’t fishing for compliments. What features do you like and what would you like to see more of? Pop me an email at IFROehser@aol.com and let me know.

Will post IFR Mock Draft v 2.0 over the weekend. Shooting for Sunday, but my father’s coming into town this weekend. It’s the first time I’ve seen him since leaving the Colts and he understandably has been concerned, so I expect a weekend of convincing him that yes, dad, everything’s going great. What I’m saying is it may be a relatively slow weekend for IFR. Bear with me. It’s a family thing.

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As promised, it’s all Indianapolis Colts 2009 NFL Draft all the time from here on out the rest of the month on Indy Football Report.

And I’ll admit:

I’ve been slower to get to full steam on the draft than I hoped. By nature, I like to have things methodically covered, which is why I like series and charts and lists. And while you can obviously chart the draft, it seemed an overwhelming venture to come up with a way to get it adequately covered in a unique way.

So,  I stopped trying. Not really, but close. Since you can’t comprehensively cover every possible selection, and since there is a multitude of draft sites on the web, what I’ve decided to do is localize this the best I can. Starting today, and running through the draft, I’ll try to provide a breakdown of each prospect being mentioned with the Colts with a slightly different — and perhaps more comprehensive tact — than I’ve seen out there. The idea will be to draw in the opinions of others, and provide an easy way for Colts fans to get a quick view on the player.

One thing: to make this really work, I’ll need the reader’s help. When I post a player profile, I’d love to see comments from everyone breaking this guy down. The nuts and bolts I’ll provide will be a start, but if we can get a discussion thread going after each one we might have something pretty interesting.

We’ll start with Hakeem Nicks, because he’s in the news lately, having worked out for the Colts.

One last thing: The one thing sort of unscientific is the mock draft. For the first few, I’ll be using the following mock drafts: The Football Expert (3/29), Pete Prisco of CBS Sports (3/11), John McLain of the Houston Chronicle (3/15), Pat Kirwan of NFL.com (4/1), www.walterfootball.com and a USA Today eight-person panel (3/30). That gives a decent variety of mocks from six sources — 13 if you consider each of USA Today’s eight-person panel. I’ll also make use of a good tool on Scout.com — the Draft Muncher.

 

Hakeem Nicks, WR . . .

1) The Basics . . .

College: North Carolina.

Ht: 6-1. Wt: 214.

Born: January 14, 1988.

Hometown: Charlotte, N.C.
 
High School: Independence

* North Carolina media guide.

 

2) The Statistics . . .

2008: 68 receptions,1,222 yards, 12 touchdowns.

Career (three seasons): 181 receptions, 2,840 yards, 21 touchdowns.

* Nicks’ college statistics/ESPN.com.

 

3) The Highlights . . .

* A few highlights.

* The behind-the-back catch.

 

4) The All-Star Games . . .

* Did not participate.

 

5) The Combine . . .

Nicks was reportedly continuing to impress at the combine, running a 4.49 40-second-yard dash before tweaking a hamstring running a route at Lucas Oil Stadium. NFL.com reported the time as 4.63, but the official time was 4.49.

* NFL.com combine profile.

* He also kept a diary for the Tar Heel Times there.

 

6) The Pro Day Reports . . .

Most of the coverage on Nicks’ March 17 Pro Day has focused on 14-to-16 pounds he reportedly gained between injuring his hamstring at the combine in late February and the Pro Day. 

* NFL.com Blog: Nicks puts on 14 pounds since NFL Scouting Combine.

* Pro Football Talk: More on Nicks’ weight.

 

7) Recent news . . .

* Nicks worked out for Dolphins and Bill Parcells . .

* And for the Colts . . .

* And many others, including the Titans . . .

 

8) What the Best Draft Links are saying . . .

* NFL Draft Scout.

* Fftoolbox.

 

9) Breaking Down the Mocks . . .

Going to the Colts: None.

Available at No. 27: 8/13 (Prisco, Football Expert, Derek Harper/NFLDraftScout.com/USA Today, Sean Leahy/USA Today, Matt Pitzer/USA Today, Rob Lang/NFLDraftScout.com/USA Today, Kirwan, McClain.

Selected in first round: 9/13.

Highest: No. 17, New York Jets  . . . Jim Corbett/USA Today.

Lowest: Out of first round . . . several.

From the muncher: As of March 16, three mock drafts in the muncher were naming Nicks at No. 27.

 

10) IFR Analysis . . .

It’s easy to see why the Colts would be interested in Nicks. He was productive in college, and although he left a year early, the Colts during President Bill Polian’s tenure haven’t been averse to selecting underclassmen — Edgerrin James, Anthony Gonzalez. Nicks’ stock rose during his final collegiate season, then continued to rise through the NFL Scouting Combine. He reportedly gained 14-to-16 pounds between sustaining a hamstring injury at the combine in late February and his mid-march Pro Day, but more recent reports are than he has lost much of the weight. He ran a 4.49 at the combine, so although he’s not a burner, his speed is more than enough to play at the NFL level. His draft “stock” in the mock drafts has been anywhere from No. 17 to out of the first round, but there seems a better-than-average chance he will be available when the Colts select at No. 27. The more you look at Nicks, the more he seems like a Colts-type player. He figures to be a major part of the conversation among Colts draftniks from now until the draft.

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Hakeem Nicks has been one of the most-talked about players when it comes to the Indianapolis Colts and the 2009 NFL Draft.

The Colts’ interest may be more than speculation.

Nicks (6-feet-1, 214 pounds), a wide receiver from the University of North Carolina who many NFL Draft analysts project as a potential first-round selection, has had a pre-draft workout with the Colts, according to Pro Football Talk and Colt Power.

Nicks‘ stock rose dramatically during a productive junior season this past season in which he caught 68 passes for 1,222 yards and 12 touchdowns. The word after the NFL Scouting Combine was he had continued to impress and was one of the fastest-rising players in the draft.

It’s what has happened in recent weeks that will be the cause of discussion/speculation among draftniks in the coming weeks.

Nicks during the combine reportedly strained his hamstring coming out of a break while running a route. Afterward, he reportedly gained between 14 pounds and 16 pounds before his March 17 Pro Day in Chapel Hill, N.C. There, Nicks opted to stand on his 40-yard dash time from the combine: 4.49 seconds.

Here’s what the scout told PFT: “He looked like a fat tight end (at the Pro Day), not a lean receiver. . . .  He’s got to have a weight problem.  This is the most important few months of his life and he gains a ton of weight.  I don’t get it.  Many scouts and coaches went away very disappointed.”

The latest in Nicks’ weight saga came Wednesday, again from PFT: that he has dropped 10 of the pounds and after weighing 226 at the Pro Day is now down to 216.

Nicks reportedly has worked out for the Bears and Dolphins, with Bill Parcells reportedly attending the workout for the Dolphins.

Now, for some perspective.

It struck me while inserting hyperlinks for a two-pound difference in weight gain that this is one of those classic “paralysis-by-analysis” scenarios that often occurs leading to the draft. A lot has been made of Nicks’ weight gain, and scouts have been quoted — anonymously, of course — as concerned about it, but there’s a documented reason for the weight gain: in this case, an injury that was widely reported.

Some perspective may be needed here, and a deep breath. The Colts seem interested. He has the size required of an NFL receiver, and if he’s not a burner, his speed is enough to keep him in consideration. We’ll never know the scout, but as is the case with sportswriters, they vary widely between ones who know what they’re doing and ones who don’t. For the Colts, the opinion that matters is obviously Colts President Bill Polian’s.

As with so much about the draft, it’s impossible to tell what this workout means. Could be a predraft smokescreen. Could be legitimate interest, but the Colts have a need at wide receiver and all the predraft buzz aside, he has the collegiate production the Colts like, so at the very least, this is worth watching. And maybe closer than a lot of others.

Note: What do you think? Is Nicks the right pick for the Colts? Email IFR at IFROehser@aol.com or leave a comment.

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Hey, Oehser . . .

Just want to say you really have a great site. I love reading your blog, and I try to do it every day.  I’m a big Colts fan and try to keep up with everything surrounding the team. With the draft nearly here, I want to ask you this: I really don’t think the Colts will take a DT in the first round. Bill Polian is well-known for getting the best player available and frankly I don’t think there will be DT worthy of that selection at 27. I do believe he will go wide receiver because it’s one of the deepest positions in the draft. Do you think Polian will take a WR and if he does, would who do you think he would rather take: Kenny Britt, Hakeem Nicks or Brian Robiskie?

Thanks for your great writings. It’s really fun reading them.
 
Best wishes,
 
Juan Pablo Castro /
Bogotá, Colombia

Juan,

Thanks for your kind words. You have a keen eye for quality writing and I admire your taste.

Also, you are astute in your analysis of Bill Polian and the draft. I say this because I agree with pretty much all of your points on defensive tackle and wide receiver. As I’ve said, I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of the Colts going defensive tackle in the first round, but I do think if Polian does so, it will be a sign of  unusual circumstances — i.e., a quality defensive tackle available late in the first round. Usually, they’re just not. It may be that Evander Hood and Peria Jerry, the two tackles you hear most about in the first round, are exceptions and that the Colts like them or another tackle enough to go in the first round. But as I said, if they do, it will breaking history.

As fas as who Polian will take at No. 27, I really don’t have a feel for that and don’t know that I will. I like the trio you threw out there. I took Kenny Britt for the Colts in IFR’s Mock Draft v 1.0, but as I have since written, that was mainly because I had Jerry and Hood off the board and I hadn’t seen Britt to the Colts in many mocks. Was hoping to get conversation started. Nicks reportedly gained more than 10 pounds between the February NFL Scouting Combine and his March Pro Day, but the gain may have been from being unable to workout because of a hamstring injury. One element in Nicks’ favor with the Colts is he was very productive in college and Polian loves college productivity. Britt has that same attribute of productivity, having more career receiving yards than any player in Big East history. He also ran a 4.4-second 40-yard dash after running a 4.56 at the combine. As is the case with other two, Robiskie is a big receiver — 6-feet-3, 209 pounds — and despite catching just 42 passes 535 yards and eight touchdowns as a senior, he caught 55-935-11 as a  junior, so he has the big conference production Polian likes. This is an educated guess, but there are enough good receivers at the end of the first round that it could be a scenario akin to 2006, when the Colts knew they wanted a running back and knew one of a good group that included Joseph Addai and Laurence Maroney would be there.

Am I hedging? Sure, I’m hedging. And wavering. So, for today, I’ll say I’m leaning Robiskie because of the Big 10 thing.

 

Hey, Oehser . . .

I’m loving the growth of this site.  You’re getting noticed by lots of folks!  Keep up the good work. Now for the tough question:  what is Bill Polian’s draft day like?  Maybe this is invasive, but does he have any superstitions or habits that he follows to get into the draft-day routine?  What does he do when it’s all over?

Thanks,

Todd Smith

Todd,

Good question and it’s one I should know more about. I’ll ask him at the next opportunity. One thing I always found interesting is that the football people at the Colts always dressed in business attire on draft day. Even though it was a weekend, it wasn’t a jeans and polo day. I never asked why, but I assumed it was to convey a sense of bigness and importance to an event for which scounts and personnel types worked and planned all year.

I do know, too, that in 2002, Polian and Tony Dungy worked out side-by-side at the complex and talked a bit about while doing so of a feeling that Dwight Freeney was the right choice if he was available when the Colts drafted. I heard Bill joke with the media once about turning that into a draft-day tradition, but I don’t know if they did.

I’ve never been in the Colts’ war room, so I wouldn’t pretend to know the traditions or superstitions, but I’ve talked to Polian before about draft day. He said the overall tone is business-like, focused and calm. The work, he has said, is done by draft day. Players don’t rise and fall and discussions on players are kept to a mininum. There’s no time for such things. There’s a board and a system and on draft day, it’s time to put those things into place.

Hey . . . Oehser

Indy Football Report Editor John Oehser Answers His Reader’s Questions . . .

 

Hey . . . Oehser,

I am a little confused about (Colts quarterback) Peyton (Manning’s) contract.  Is he signed through 2010 or 2012?  If he is due for another contract next year, how will the uncapped year (or years) affect him being re-signed?  Should Colts fans be concerned about losing Peyton to a team like the Redskins who will pay anything for him with no salary cap?

Thanks,
Chris

Chris,

A very interesting question, and I’ll explain it to the best of my understanding. If this answer doesn’t cut it, I’ll try to ask for specifics at the next opportunity.

First, Manning is signed through 2012, but from what I understand — and among those people helping me understand are Indy Football Report’s friends at www.coltscap.net — the final two years are voidable, which means he essentially is scheduled to become a free agent following the 2010 season.

Now, the trickier part of the question. And again, remember the ramifications of the uncapped year are intricate enough that even Colts President Bill Polian — one of the brightest NFL minds around — says it’s very, very confusing. This part is about how the uncapped year would affect his re-signing, and on the surface, it would seem that your concern is legitimate, that an uncapped year would be a boon for big-time free agents such as Manning.

Only it’s not set up that way.

I dug up — read: googled — this article by NFL.com senior analyst Pat Kirwan that does a pretty good job explaining it,but I’ll paraphrase what I have heard from several sources, including Polian at some point in the past year or so. I’ll have to wind my way to the gist so bear with me. Essentially, the NFL and the NFL Players Association each agreed when negotiating the Collective Bargaining Agreement that it was best for both parties if the current CBA never ran out. With that in mind, the sides agreed to put in rules that would make an uncapped year phenomenally distasteful to both sides. Now, an uncapped year in which teams could pay unlimitless money for a superstar player clearly would not be distasteful to the player or the teams, so the sides took steps to ensure that wouldn’t be the case. First, every player from the 2005 draft who signed a five-year contract and every player from 2006 who signed a four-year contract according to Kirwan would automatically revert back to their teams as a restricted free agent.

Now, that rule doesn’t affect Manning, but another would and that’s that teams would have three “tags” rather than one to restrict veterans trying to move into free agency. This almost certainly would prevent a free-spending team — i.e., Washington — from using the uncapped year to Manning away.

Incidentally, remember how I said both sides  would be hurt by an uncapped year? Another way the teams would be hurt is by the so-called “Final Eight” rule, under which the final eight teams in the postseason would be severely impacted in free agency.

That’s the simplest I can make a pretty complex answer without copying Kirwan word for word, so follow the link if you want to dig deep into the details. But for the purpose of your question, an uncapped year almost certainly wouldn’t cost the Colts Manning.

Besides, this might be a lot of worry about nothing. NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell said during the first day of the NFL Owners Meetings Monday he expects a deal regarding the CBA to be in place before next March, which would prevent the uncapped year.

 

 

Hey . . . Oehser,

Some Wunderlic scores have been released.

My preferred draft pick (North Carolina wide receiver) Hakeem Nicks scored an abysmal 11. I guess the scores of fan favorites (and defensive tackles) Peria Jerry and Evander Hood have not been released. What do the Colts think of Wonderlic scores? Have they ever commented on their importance? I know the Colts value intelligence, but what is their standard for smart enough and how does it vary by position? Do they use the test scores or rely more on on-field evidence and interviews?

Thanks,

LukeM

LukeM,

Thanks again for the question. That’s a debate/discussion that always comes up around this time of year — just how much do teams consider the Wonderlic?

If I’ve heard Colts President Bill Polian say this about nearly everything draft-related once, I’ve heard him say it a hundred times — just about everything associated with the draft is part of an overall picture. If a guy has a low Wonderlic score, it almost certainly raises a red flag, at which point the process begins of determining why he scored so low. If the Colts are considering Nicks, my guess is upon receiving the score there have been phone calls and discussions with a bunch of people who know Hicks well, followed by their own tests. The Wonderlic, as with any test, is part of an overall process. The draft is by its nature an unscientific process, but the Colts work tirelessly to make it as scientific as possible. Polian and those around him take great pride in having developed a system to help take as much guesswork out of the process as possible.

All of which sort of leads to the answer for the following question. There’s likely not really a cutoff point for “smart enough,” because there’s no one test that’s used, but certainly there are a variety of factors they use and they obviously consider intelligence very, very important at every position.

And again as to whether they use test scores or rely on onfield evidence and interviews, it’s all part of a complex process, so I’d be reluctant to say which they use “more.” I do know one thing: the Colts are very, very, very big on onfield performance in college. If a guy has produced in college, that’s maybe the biggest weighing factor and it takes some specific measurables — the Colts do believe there are certain speed and physical traits players must have at certain positions to play professionally — to eliminate a player from consideration.

Know that may have stepped around parts of your question, but the gist is that the Colts’ evaluation process is a bit too complex to say for certain they favor certain factors over others.

 

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